Smartphone Market Share – Is Android the Phone of the Future.

Android and iPhone smartphone comparison

Android is leapfrogging iPhone

Nielsen just posted the results of another survey that show Android quickly eclipsing iPhone in adoption and smartphone market share

Android is growing while iPhone is stagnant

Android is growing while iPhone is stagnant

Are consumers deciding to adopt phones like the HTC Evo with a considerably better camera and 4G speeds that are up to 10x faster than the iPhone and AT&T? Are consumers wowed by the power of Android on the new DroidX? Do users want to see the other half (40%) of the web that is currently Adobe Flash content?

According to the smartphone market share study by Nielsen above, Android has shown a whopping 4-5% incremental growth/quarter beginning in Q4 of 2009 while Apple has only claimed 1% growth/quarter during the same time frame.

Android eclipses iPhone in recent study

Android eclipses iPhone in recent study

Are we having Deja-Vu of Steve Jobs taking on Microsoft?  Is Apple heading back to the same predicament they were in in the late 80’s.  Are Adobe and Google just to strong for the well branded fruit? Time will tell but, the consumers are making their voice heard with their wallets.  It will be interesting to see what the numbers will be the next quarter?

An article on Techcrunch stated sarcastically that it is “Shocking” that 20 models of the Android would outsell one iPhone. This is simply called market forces and the law of supply and demand. People want choices and Apple doesn’t offer that in phones or carriers.

P.S. This post was written on a Mac.

3 thoughts on “Smartphone Market Share – Is Android the Phone of the Future.

  1. Pingback: CurtisMorley.com » Android Based Phones Overtake the iPhone OS in SmartPhone Market

  2. Rick,

    I am happy to have a conversation around the issue. Thank you for your feedback. Here are my thoughts.

    Curtis Loves Flash – True
    IPhone doesn’t support Flash – True
    Curtis will use any means necessary in order to downplay the iphone – False.

    I suggested to a co-worker that she buy the iPhone because she wanted to stay on ATT. The iPhone was the best to suit her needs on ATT.

    The point of the article is that Android is currently gaining significant market share. It was also to conjecture where the future of SmartPhone adoption will head. Some reports actually show iPhone losing market share in Oct.

    Yes, having a huge hole in web browsing is a severe limitation that the iPhone suffers. But you didn’t address any of the other issues of why the trends show that people are gravitating toward Android over iPhone.

    Look at the HTC EVO 4G for example.

    4G speeds (up to 10x faster than the iPhone)
    Video Conferencing without need for a Wifi connection
    8 mp Camera
    Larger Screen (4.3-inch WVGA LCD)
    8 person Wifi hotspot
    Streaming HD YouTube and other Video
    Live TV
    HDMI out
    More Free apps than iPhone
    Faster processor
    Kick stand

    and……

    Flash enabled in any one of the multiple browsers.

    If we look even broader we see that Android offers:
    Choice of Hardware
    Choice of Carrier
    Apps running simultaneously
    and many more
    http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2010/06/10-things-android-does-better-than-iphone-os/

    I pulled the info of 40% from a major ISP that tracks the content on all sites that are viewed through their ISP.

    There are several websites that use Flash. Here are some examples from the sites you listed. Are they “ALL” Flash sites – No. Do they use Flash to enhance the user experience – Yes.

    1. Ebay –> yes (Product promotion using Flash)
    2. Google –> yes (Google Analytics, Google Finance, etc…)
    3. Amazon –> yes (Many products are promoted using Flash)
    4. Youtube, -> yes (Flash is served first, alternate content in HTML5)
    5. Facebook –> yes (Most apps are in Flash. For example – Farmville, Farkle, Texas Hold ‘Em Poker, Cafe World, etc…

    Flash can be easily found on 9 of the top 10 Alexa sites.
    http://www.alexa.com/topsites

    The iPhone will always be around just like the Blackberry will always be around. It will see it’s hayday and unless it reinvents itself repeatedly then it will be around for the die-hard users majorly. This is no different for the Android. Market forces will determine the future of the iPhone, Android, Blackberry, Nokia, etc… Market forces are showing the present condition of the iPhone today.

    Let’s keep watching this will be fun to see what the world hungers for.

    FYI some more fun stats –
    http://www.mobilemarketer.com/cms/opinion/columns/5980.html

    1.2 billion mobile phones are Flash-capable
    o 70 percent of online gaming sites run Flash
    o 98 percent of Internet-enabled desktops use it
    o 85 percent of top 100 Web sites use Flash
    o No. 1 platform for video on the Web – 75 percent of all videos use Flash, including Hulu, Disney and YouTube
    o 2-3-million-person Flash developers community
    o 90 percent of creative professionals have Adobe software on their desktops

  3. Curtis,

    Thank you for posting this. The problem that I have with this article is that I believed it is bias article.

    For example:

    Curtis Morley loves flash.
    Iphone doesn’t support flash.

    Therefore, lets use any means necessary in order to downplay the iphone.

    This bias even comes out in your article, “Do users want to see the other half (40%) of the web that is currently Adobe Flash content?”

    Haha, I love the crappy 40% statistic.
    There are lies, **** lies and statistics.

    Name me a a large website that is based on flash?
    1. Ebay –> no
    2. Google –> no
    3. Amazon –> no
    4. Youtube, is now using HTML5
    5. Facebook –> no
    etc… etc.. etc..

    The 40% you are quoting, if even true, is probably a bunch of crappy websites nobody ever goes to.

    If you want a prediction of “whats going to happen”, here it is:

    1. The iphone/ipad will always be around and will always have a considerable market share.
    2. Flash will continue to lose market share because of iphone/ipad not supporting it.
    3. Flash will continue to lose market share because of HTML5

    The real question is, will this comment stay up? Or, are you too offended to keep it up?

    Rick

Comments are closed.